Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-10
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#117
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#122
Pace62.1#305
Improvement+2.0#82

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#118
Improvement+2.9#42

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#116
Improvement-0.9#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 46   @ New Mexico L 62-76 17%     0 - 1 -0.6 +6.3 +6.4
  Nov 20, 2010 68   UAB W 69-66 44%     1 - 1 +7.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2010 339   Houston Baptist W 73-55 95%     2 - 1 +1.8 -8.2 -7.2
  Nov 26, 2010 166   Weber St. W 59-58 62%     3 - 1 +0.9 -0.4 +0.4
  Nov 27, 2010 32   St. John's L 58-67 20%     3 - 2 +3.0 +5.7 +5.9
  Dec 02, 2010 73   @ Baylor L 54-68 25%     3 - 3 -3.8 +4.5 +4.9
  Dec 05, 2010 47   Richmond L 61-67 35%     3 - 4 +1.0 +3.1 +3.6
  Dec 11, 2010 267   Gardner-Webb W 71-48 88%     4 - 4 +13.4 -4.8 -3.8
  Dec 17, 2010 152   @ Nevada W 78-75 46%     5 - 4 +7.2 +2.3 +2.0
  Dec 21, 2010 91   Long Beach St. W 72-55 55%     6 - 4 +18.6 +0.8 +1.6
  Dec 23, 2010 297   N.C. A&T W 56-50 91%     7 - 4 -5.9 -6.4 -5.1
  Dec 30, 2010 154   @ Oregon St. L 58-80 46%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -17.9 +1.6 +1.4
  Jan 01, 2011 88   @ Oregon W 60-55 31%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +13.2 +3.7 +4.7
  Jan 06, 2011 94   Stanford L 41-55 56%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -12.5 -0.3 +1.2
  Jan 08, 2011 65   California L 61-65 43%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +0.9 +2.1 +2.6
  Jan 12, 2011 87   Tulsa W 69-59 54%     9 - 7 +11.9 +1.1 +1.3
  Jan 15, 2011 25   @ Arizona L 69-80 12%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +5.0 +7.8 +7.6
  Jan 20, 2011 48   @ Washington St. L 61-78 17%     9 - 9 1 - 5 -3.8 +6.2 +6.2
  Jan 22, 2011 14   @ Washington L 75-88 8%     9 - 10 1 - 6 +6.0 +9.4 +9.0
  Jan 27, 2011 45   USC L 61-63 35%     9 - 11 1 - 7 +5.1 +3.3 +3.7
  Jan 29, 2011 50   UCLA L 72-73 OT 37%     9 - 12 1 - 8 +5.5 +3.2 +3.3
  Feb 03, 2011 65   @ California L 62-66 22%     9 - 13 1 - 9 +7.3 +5.7 +5.4
  Feb 05, 2011 94   @ Stanford L 75-83 32%     9 - 14 1 - 10 -0.1 +4.2 +3.3
  Feb 13, 2011 25   Arizona L 52-67 26%     9 - 15 1 - 11 -5.4 +4.0 +4.9
  Feb 17, 2011 14   Washington L 62-79 18%     9 - 16 1 - 12 -4.3 +5.9 +6.0
  Feb 19, 2011 48   Washington St. W 71-69 36%     10 - 16 2 - 12 +8.9 +3.4 +3.5
  Feb 24, 2011 50   @ UCLA L 53-71 18%     10 - 17 2 - 13 -5.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Feb 26, 2011 45   @ USC L 46-62 16%     10 - 18 2 - 14 -2.6 +6.1 +6.4
  Mar 03, 2011 88   Oregon W 73-53 55%     11 - 18 3 - 14 +21.9 +1.1 +1.7
  Mar 05, 2011 154   Oregon St. W 80-66 70%     12 - 18 4 - 14 +11.7 -0.9 -0.8
  Mar 09, 2011 88   Oregon L 69-76 42%     12 - 19 -2.0 +2.5 +2.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%